(This is, of course, going to absolutely doom me, as I went 5-0 with my picks last week, when I kept mum about it, so now that I publicly reveal said picks I'm essentially guaranteeing I'll go 0-5 this week.)
It's been a very good degenerate month for me so I thought I'd reward myself last week by splashing some bets around on NFL games, actually wagering real money on the outcome of games (*gasp*). Like I said, 'twas a good week, to the point that my head has swelled enough to post my picks for this week.
Indy +13 +102 at Pinnacle vs. Houston
Houston just isn't very good. (Sorry, April). I normally shy away from big favorites in the ParityFL these days but not when the favorite is Indy playing Houston.
Atlanta -5.5 -105 at Pinnacle vs. Tampa Bay
Tampa isn't as bad as they looked last week, but the Atlanta D is going to feast on Phil's Son. I was tempted to take the Under/35 instead of the spread but I like the odds of Atlanta covering the spread slightly better.
St. Louis -3 -104 at Pinnacle vs. San Francisco
This scares me a bit because I don't understand why the Rams are just -3 here (pretty much across every book), as I'd figure them for at least -5/-6 versus the lowly 49ers. So, umm, yeah. Like the Rams a lot at -3, which scares me a bit in its seemingly no-braineresqueness.
Giants +3 -115 at CanBet vs. Philly
Sorry, Al. I don't love this game but I think it's a case of the Giants being better than they showed in their opener and Philly not quite as good as they appeared.